Package 'bunchr'

Title: Analyze Bunching in a Kink or Notch Setting
Description: View and analyze data where bunching is expected. Estimate counter- factual distributions. For earnings data, estimate the compensated elasticity of earnings w.r.t. the net-of-tax rate.
Authors: Itai Trilnick [aut, cre]
Maintainer: Itai Trilnick <[email protected]>
License: MIT + file LICENSE
Version: 1.2.0
Built: 2024-11-10 04:30:50 UTC
Source: https://github.com/trilnick/bunchr

Help Index


Bunching Analysis

Description

Given a kinked or notched budget set, this function gets a vector of earnings and analyzes bunching. The bunchr package has two main useful functions:

Usage

bunch(earnings, zstar, t1, t2, Tax = 0, cf_start = NA, cf_end = NA,
  exclude_before = NA, exclude_after = NA, force_after = FALSE,
  binw = 10, poly_size = 7, convergence = 0.01, max_iter = 100,
  correct = TRUE, select = TRUE, draw = TRUE, nboots = 0, seed = NA,
  progress = FALSE, title = "Bunching Visualization",
  varname = "Earnings")

Arguments

earnings

Vector of earnings, hopefully a very large one.

zstar

Place of kink (critical earning point).

t1

Marginal tax rate before kink.

t2

Marginal tax rate after kink.

Tax

"Penalty" tax for crossing zstar.

cf_start

Number of bins before the kink bin where counter-factual histogram should start.

cf_end

Number of bins after the kink bin where counter-factual histogram should start.

exclude_before

Number of excluded bins before the kink bin.

exclude_after

Number of excluded bins after the kink bin.

force_after

For notch analysis, should bunch be forced to use of the provided exclude_after for the end of the bunching, rather than trying to find the bin where the sum of the integral is zero? See details at notch_estimator documentation.

binw

Bin width.

poly_size

Order of polynomial used to calculate counter-factual histogram.

convergence

Minimal rate of change of bunching estimate to stop iterations.

max_iter

Maximum number of iterations for bunching estimates.

correct

Should the counter-factual histogram be corrected to compensate for shifting left because of the notch? See details.

select

Should model selection be used to find counter-factual histogram? See details.

draw

Should a graph be drawn?

nboots

how many bootstraps should be run?

seed

specify seed for bootstraps (earnings sampling).

progress

Should a progress bar be desplayed?

title

Title for Plot output

varname

Name for running variable, to be desplayed in the plot

Details

bunch checks if the specification has a kink, i.e. if the Tax parameter is greater than zero. If so, it applies notch_estimator. Otherwise, it applies kink_estimator. Additionally, bunch can bootstrap by sampling the earnings vector, returning a vector with the estimated elasticities.

Value

bunch returns a list comprising of the parameters returned by kink_estimator and notch_estimator. If bootstraps were asked for, bootstrapped values are added to the list. Drawing of histograms is suppressed when running the bootsraps.

See Also

kink_estimator, notch_estimator

Examples

# analyzing a kink
ability_vec <- 4000 * rbeta(100000, 2, 5)
earning_vec <- sapply(ability_vec, earning_fun, 0.2, 0, 0.2, 0, 1000)
# bunch_viewer(earning_vec, 1000, 20, 20, 1, 1, binw = 20)
estim <- bunch(earning_vec, 1000, 0, 0.2, Tax = 0, 20, 20, 1, 1,
binw = 20, draw=TRUE, nboots = 0, seed = 16)
estim$e

# analyzing a notch
earning_vec <- sapply(ability_vec, earning_fun, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 500, 1000)
bunch_viewer(earning_vec, 1000, 10, 40, 2, 22, binw = 50)
estim <- bunch(earning_vec, 1000, 0.2, 0.2, Tax = 500, 10, 40, 2, 22,
binw = 50, draw = FALSE, nboots = 0, seed = 16)
estim$e

Visualizing a histogram and potential excluded areas

Description

This function is meant to aid find excluded bins and analysis area for a bunching study. It displays a histogram with borders. Optionally, you can get the actual histogram back. This is convenient, as the kink/notch point is set as the center of a bin.

Usage

bunch_viewer(earnings, zstar = NA, cf_start = 10, cf_end = 50,
  exclude_before = 2, exclude_after = 20, binw = NA, trimy = TRUE,
  report = FALSE, title = "Count Histogram", varname = "Running Variable")

Arguments

earnings

Vector of earnings, hopefully a very large one

zstar

Place of notch/kink (critical earning point)

cf_start

Number of bins before the kink bin where counter-factual histogram should start.

cf_end

Number of bins after the kink bin where counter-factual histogram should start.

exclude_before

Number of excluded bins before the kink bin.

exclude_after

Number of excluded bins after the kink bin.

binw

Bin width.

trimy

Logical. Should the y-axis be trimmed to better show off-bunching histogram?

report

Should the function return the actual histogram?

title

Title for Plot output

varname

Name for running variable, to be desplayed in the plot

Value

A plot, the actual histogram if report is set to TRUE.

See Also

bunch

Examples

ability_vec <- 4000 * rbeta(100000, 2, 5)
earning_vec <- sapply(ability_vec, earning_fun, 0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 0, 1000)
bunch_viewer(earning_vec, 1000, 20, 40, 2, 2, 20, trimy = TRUE, report = FALSE)

Run bunchApp: an Interactive Bunching Simulation

Description

bunchApp is an interactive simulator for bunching analysis. It is meant to serve as a tool for understanding bunching analysis in general, and the use of bunchr for data analysis. This app is opened on a separate window.

Usage

bunchApp()

Details

This function merely runs the app. It accepts no parameters.

See Also

The machinery behind the simulation: bunch

This simulator is also offered online at https://trilnick.shinyapps.io/bunchapp/.


bunchr: A Package for Bunching Analysis

Description

The bunchr package is meant to help analyze bunching. Given a vector of earnings (or any other numeric vector), it creates a counter-factual count histogram and calculates the compensated elasticity of earnings w.r.t. the net-of-tax rate.

Main functions

bunchr has three main functions:

bunch

is the main function running the actual analysis.

bunch_viewer

serves as an aid to the second by visualizing some of theuser-specified options without running an analysis. Use it to see what the histogram of your earnings vector looks like when setting specific bin size, where the counter-factual analysis should be done, and the bounds of the excluded area. You can also save the histogram bins and counts.

bunchApp

is an interactive simulator. Use it to explore bunching simulation and estimation of earning elasticity.

See Also

bunch, bunch_viewer


Finding optimal earning under kinked/notched budget set

Description

For an agent with quasi-linear iso-elastic utility, find the utility maximizing earning level.

Usage

earning_fun(n, elas, t1, t2, Tax, zstar)

Arguments

n

Ability of person (earnings with zero tax)

elas

elasticity of earnings w.r.t. net-of-tax rate

t1

Tax rate before notch/kink

t2

Tax rate after notch/kink

Tax

height of notch (zero for pure kink)

zstar

place of notch/kink (critical earning point)

Details

earn_funciton is intended to simulate earnings of agents under a kink or notch.

Value

Optimal earning level.

See Also

util_calc, bunch

Examples

earning_fun(1200,0.2,0.1,0.3,100,1000)

Using elasticity to calculating distance between utility at tangency and at notch point

Description

Given an elasticity, a budget set, and the earnings of the marginal buncher, calculate the utility at notch point and at marginal buncher's earning, and return the absolute difference. Equating these two utilities helps find the elasticity of the marginal buncher. See equations (3) and (4) at Kelven and Waseem (2013)

Usage

elas_equalizer(elas, t1, t2, Tax, zstar, delta_zed, binw)

Arguments

elas

elasticity of earnings w.r.t. net-of-tax rate

t1

Tax rate before notch/kink

t2

Tax rate after notch/kink

Tax

Height of notch (zero for pure kink)

zstar

Place of notch/kink (critical earning point)

delta_zed

The notch size

binw

Bin width

Value

Absolute value of utility at zstar+deltazedzstar+delta_zed minus utility at kink/notch point.

References

Kleven, H. and Waseem, Mazhar (2013) Using notches to uncover optimization frictions and structural elasticities: Theory and evidence from Pakistan, The Quarterly Journal of Economics 128(2)

Examples

elas_equalizer(0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 100, 1000, 200, 20)

Analyzing Bunching at a Kink

Description

Given a kinked budget set, this function gets a vector of earnings and analyzes bunching. This function could be run independently, but best used through the bunch function.

Usage

kink_estimator(earnings, zstar, t1, t2, cf_start = NA, cf_end = NA,
  exclude_before = 2, exclude_after = 2, binw = 10, poly_size = 7,
  convergence = 0.01, max_iter = 100, correct = TRUE, select = TRUE,
  draw = TRUE, title = "Bunching Visualization", varname = "Earnings")

Arguments

earnings

Vector of earnings, hopefully a very large one.

zstar

Place of kink (critical earning point).

t1

Marginal tax rate before kink.

t2

Marginal tax rate after kink.

cf_start

Number of bins before the kink bin where counter-factual histogram should start.

cf_end

Number of bins after the kink bin where counter-factual histogram should start.

exclude_before

Number of excluded bins before the kink bin.

exclude_after

Number of excluded bins after the kink bin.

binw

Bin width.

poly_size

Order of polynomial used to calculate counter-factual histogram.

convergence

Minimal rate of change of bunching estimate to stop iterations.

max_iter

Maximum number of iterations for bunching estimates.

correct

Should the counter-factual histogram be corrected to compensate for shifting left because of the notch? See details.

select

Should model selection be used to find counter-factual histogram? See details.

draw

Should a graph be drawn?

title

Title for plot output

varname

Name for running variable, to be desplayed in the plot

Details

A histogram is created from the earnings vector, with the kink point zstar as the center of one of the bins.

Correction of the counter-factual is required, as the kink-induced bunching will shift the whole distribution on the right side of the kink to the left. This option follows Chetty et al (2009) in correcting for this.

Model selection works using the step function from the stats package. It runs backwards from the full polynomial model, trying to find the best explanatory model using the Akaike information criterion.

Value

kink_estimator returns a list of the following variables:

e

Estimated elasticity

Bn

The sum of total estimated extra bunching in the excluded bins

b

The rate of extra bunching in the excluded area, divided by the length of area in \$

data

A data frame with bin mids, counts, counter-factual counts, and excluded dummy

References

Chetty, R., Friedman, J., Olsen, T., Pistaferri, L. (2009) Adjustment Costs, Firm Responses, and Micro vs. Macro Labor Supply Elasticities: Evidence from Danish Tax Records, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 126(2).

See Also

bunch, notch_estimator

Examples

ability_vec <- 4000 * rbeta(100000, 2, 5)
earning_vec <- sapply(ability_vec, earning_fun, 0.2, 0, 0.2, 0, 1000)
# bunch_viewer(earning_vec, 1000, 40, 40, 1, 1, binw = 10)
kink_estimator(earning_vec, 1000, 0, 0.2, 40, 40, 1, 1, binw = 10, draw = FALSE)$e

Analyzing Bunching at a Notch

Description

Given a kinked budget set, this function gets a vector of earnings and analyzes bunching. This function could be run independently, but best used through the bunch function.

Usage

notch_estimator(earnings, zstar, t1, t2, Tax = 0, cf_start = NA,
  cf_end = NA, exclude_before = NA, exclude_after = NA,
  force_after = FALSE, binw = 10, poly_size = 7, convergence = 0.01,
  max_iter = 100, select = TRUE, draw = TRUE,
  title = "Bunching Visualization", varname = "Earnings")

Arguments

earnings

Vector of earnings, hopefully a very large one

zstar

Place of kink (critical earning point)

t1

Tax rate before kink

t2

Tax rate after kink

Tax

"Penalty" tax for crossing zstar.

cf_start

Number of bins before the kink bin where counter-factual histogram should start.

cf_end

Number of bins after the kink bin where counter-factual histogram should start.

exclude_before

Number of excluded bins before the kink bin.

exclude_after

Number of excluded bins after the kink bin.

force_after

Should bunch be forced to use of the provided exclude_after for the end of the bunching, rather than trying to find the bin where the sum of the integral is zero? See details.

binw

Bin width.

poly_size

Order of polynomial used to calculate counter-factual histogram.

convergence

Minimal rate of change of bunching estimate to stop iterations.

max_iter

Maximum number of iterations for bunching estimates.

select

Should model selection be used to find counter-factual histogram? See details.

draw

Should a graph be drawn?

title

Title for plot output

varname

Name for running variable, to be desplayed in the plot

Details

A histogram is created from the earnings vector, with the kink point zstar as the center of one of the bins.

For "unpure" notches, where the marginal tax rate after the notch is different than the one before it, this function disregards the shifting of post-notch distribution to the right, as suggested by Kleven (2016). Asssumption is that the notch effect is much stronger anyway.

Model selection works using the step function from the stats package. It runs backwards from the full polynomial model, trying to find the best explanatory model using the Akaike Information Criterion.

By default, notch_estimator will try to find the end of the notch, i.e. a histogram bin defining a right-side boundary for a range of an excluded area. An interpolation of the counts inside this range renders an equality between the sum of the “excess” counts, from the left side to the notch point, and the sum of “missing” counts from the notch point to the notch size. notch_estimator goes through an iterative process to find a stable right-side boundary, labels it notch_size and returns it. However, the user might want to force a visibly detectible end of notch, rather than let notch_estimator calculate one. Use this option with caution: the notch size is then used to calculate elasticity. For calculating intensive margin elasticities, excess bunching must all come from other bins. Thus, total sums must be equal and forcing the notch size might not be appropriate. In other settings, e.g. a labor market with extensive margins (entry and exit from labor force), forcing the notch size might be helpful.

Value

notch_estimator returns a list of the following variables:

e

Estimated elasticity

Bn

The sum of total estimated extra bunching in the area starting at cf_start and through the notch bin (zstar)

notch_size

Distance between notch bin and bin where the estimated influence of the notch ends, delta_zed

data

A data frame with bin mids, counts, counter-factual counts, and excluded dummy

References

Kleven, H J (2016). Bunching, Annual Review of Economics, 8(1).

See Also

bunch, kink_estimator

Examples

ability_vec <- 4000 * rbeta(100000, 2, 5)
earning_vec <- sapply(ability_vec, earning_fun, 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 500, 1000)
bunch_viewer(earning_vec, 1000, 15, 30, 2, 21, binw = 50)
notch_estimator(earning_vec, 1000, 0.2, 0.2, 500, 15, 30, 2, 21, binw = 50,
draw = FALSE)$e

Calculating quasi-linear iso-elastic utility

Description

u(z,n,elas,t1,t2,Tax,zstar)=u(z,n,elas,t1,t2,Tax,zstar) =

z(1t1)+[z>zstar]((zzstar)(t2t1)Tax)n/(1+(1/elas))(z/n)(1+(1/elas))z * (1 - t1) + [z > zstar] * ((z - zstar) * (t2 - t1) - Tax) - n / (1 + (1 / elas)) * (z / n)^(1 + (1 / elas))

Usage

util_calc(z, n, elas, t1, t2, Tax, zstar)

Arguments

z

Earnings

n

Ability of person (earnings with zero tax)

elas

elasticity of earnings w.r.t. net-of-tax rate

t1

Tax rate before notch/kink

t2

Tax rate after notch/kink

Tax

height of notch (zero for pure kink)

zstar

place of notch/kink (critical earning point)

Value

The utility of earning sum z given other parameters.

Examples

util_calc(900, 950, 0.2, 0.1, 0.2, 100, 1000)

Calculating distance between utility at tangency and at notch/kink point

Description

Ability (n) and elasticity (e) determine an agent's earnings and utility. This function determines the tangency point of the agent's utility with the budget line and returns the distance between the utility of earning at that point and the utility of earning at the notch/kink point. This function is mostly used to find the marginal buncher.

Usage

util_equalizer(n, elas, t1, t2, Tax, zstar)

Arguments

n

Ability of person (earnings with zero tax)

elas

elasticity of earnings w.r.t. net-of-tax rate

t1

Tax rate before notch/kink

t2

Tax rate after notch/kink

Tax

height of notch (zero for pure kink)

zstar

place of notch/kink (critical earning point)

Value

Absolute value of utility at tangency minus utility at kink/notch point.

See Also

util_calc

Examples

util_equalizer(1200,0.2,0.1,0.3,100,1000)